May Update

Posted by Michael Berlin on June 10, 2017 - 3:31pm

My outlook is again becoming more conservative.  Despite strong earnings and low interest rates, I am growing more concerned about overvaluation, Fed tightening, and especially market complacency.  My fund has had a positive return for ten of the last eleven months including a streak that currently stands at seven months in a row.  While I am pleased with such consistency, I know that it is not typically possible in a normal market environment.  Indeed, the volatility index touched a multidecade low this month.  

 

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